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2024-12-13 05:38:27

Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".The Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation launched a Class IV defense response to low-temperature rain, snow and freezing disasters, and the Lanzhou Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue warning of blizzard at 10: 34 on December 9: It is expected that there will be heavy snow in Lanzhou, Baiyin, Dingxi, Linxia and other cities and States, as well as northern Gannan, western Tianshui, western Pingliang, western Qingyang, southern Zhangye and southern Wuwei from 15: 00 on the 9 th to 20: 00 on the 10 th; Blizzard will appear in southern Linxia, western Dingxi, southern Lanzhou and central Baiyin. According to the relevant provisions of "Emergency Plan for Highway Traffic Security in Gansu Province" and "Comprehensive Emergency Plan for Transportation in Gansu Province", the Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation decided to start the level IV defense response to the freezing rain, snow and ice disaster of transportation at 20: 00 on December 9.Bitcoin hit $98,000/piece, down 3.12% in the day.


Most domestic futures opened up at night, with Shanghai Gold up 0.66%, Shanghai Silver up 1.86%, Shanghai Zinc up 1.8%, iron ore up 2.24%, coking coal up more than 2%, glass up over 3% and crude oil up 1.46%.The largest artificial intelligence supercomputing center in Hong Kong was opened, and the largest artificial intelligence supercomputing center in Hong Kong was officially put into service on the 9th, providing computing support for local universities, R&D institutions and enterprises, and helping the construction of Hong Kong International Innovation Center. Sun Dong, Director of the Innovation, Technology and Industry Bureau of the Hong Kong SAR Government, said at the opening ceremony held at the Cyberport that artificial intelligence is a key technology to develop new quality productivity and has great potential. In the face of this wave of science and technology, Hong Kong should keep pace with the times, actively deploy and seize the opportunities of artificial intelligence development. Supercomputing Center will not only provide advanced computing power to promote industrial development, but also become the cradle of cultivating talents related to artificial intelligence and inject new impetus into the high-quality development of Hong Kong's economy.A total of about 19,400 winning numbers of Lanyu shares were released, and Lanyu shares disclosed the online winning results of initial public offering. There are 19,400 winning numbers, and each winning number can only subscribe for 500 A shares of Zhejiang Lanyu Digital Technology Co., Ltd..


EU leaders called on Germany to lift the borrowing ceiling to protect the economy.The dollar rose 0.5% against the yen to 150.75.Aauto Quicker-W: On December 9th, it spent HK$ 48,418,900 to buy back 1,037,800 shares. Aauto Quicker -W(01024) announced that on December 9th, 2024, the company spent HK$ 48,418,900 to buy back 1,037,800 shares.

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